Nate Silver, a resident New Yorker, made his name making eerily accurate predictions on who would win the 2008 and 2012 Presidential elections and by what margin.
He’s a statistician who has made the almost unknown world of probabilistic prediction sexy and mainstream as a political tool, though there aren’t too many people who can do what he does.
Before becoming the king of electoral prediction he had been very successful as a predictor of baseball outcomes using similar techniques.
He took up residence at the New York Times prior to the 2012 elections and that paper did very well indeed out of the huge number of online fans who hung on his every word and graph as the election went down to the wire.
Now apparently Disney wants him to ply his skills on their behalf and he will be able to do both his political and sports thing on ESPN, the ABC news and elsewhere.
Late in 2012 he published a very well received book ‘The Signal and The Noise’ a racy and very interesting exploration of the world of probabilistic prediction which has enormously raised the profile of these skills, now very important in the world of Big Data analysis.
In the video he suggests poker as a fun way of learning about it. LIKE it when New Yorkers do very well and play poker.